Brady Tkachuk vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (+7.0%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 52.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 79.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 57.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
50.0% (992)
+6.8%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
64.9% (148)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
34.4% (32)
+65.6%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +65.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Tkachuk shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Home
50.4% (121)
53.3% (591)
Away
67.3% (113)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
P1
57.1%
49.9%
P2
60.0%
53.2%
P3
58.3%
50.8%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%