Brady Tkachuk vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 68.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 80.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
49.2% (1,266)
+1.8%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
54.9% (193)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
49.1% (55)
+0.9%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Tkachuk shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
Home
50.0% (140)
50.9% (740)
Away
52.2% (207)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Tkachuk
MacKinnon
P1
54.3%
50.9%
P2
50.0%
51.8%
P3
49.5%
47.1%
OT
33.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%