Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Roy 48.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 88.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 89.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Tkachuk
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tkachuk
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Tkachuk
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
49.5% (746)
-4.1%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
50.7% (75)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
42.7% (110)
+57.3%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +57.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Roy
Home
51.1% (233)
47.7% (491)
Away
49.0% (202)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Tkachuk
Roy
P1
42.9%
51.1%
P2
52.2%
44.6%
P3
53.7%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |