Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Roy 51.9% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 81.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 90.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 56.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Tkachuk
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
51.9% (547)
+4.9%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
54.1% (37)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
53.3% (92)
+46.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Tkachuk shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Roy
Home
50.4% (121)
54.0% (328)
Away
67.3% (113)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Tkachuk
Roy
P1
57.1%
53.5%
P2
60.0%
51.6%
P3
58.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
55.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%