Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tkachuk wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Roy 47.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 94.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 79.8%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 85.8%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 94.6%
94.6%
5.4%
Tkachuk
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Tkachuk
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
47.5% (617)
+0.4%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
39.6% (53)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
46.4% (97)
-46.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Tkachuk shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Roy
Home
56.0% (175)
47.2% (398)
Away
49.8% (205)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Tkachuk
Roy
P1
55.0%
48.6%
P2
51.9%
48.8%
P3
47.3%
43.9%
OT
77.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | OT | 00:22 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |