Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 53.8% vs Cates 45.2% (+12.0%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 74.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 79.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 52.9%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Tkachuk
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (89)
44.2% (566)
+15.4%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
44.0% (84)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (38)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (99).
Tkachuk shoots left. Cates is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Cates
Home
52.9% (87)
45.1% (350)
Away
61.7% (60)
43.8% (338)
By Period
Tkachuk
Cates
P1
61.0%
46.8%
P2
59.5%
46.5%
P3
52.4%
40.8%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
44.5%