Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 62.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Cates 45.5% (+13.6%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 77.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 80.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 55.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Tkachuk
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
45.4% (712)
+11.4%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
42.2% (102)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.7% (47)
+55.3%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Tkachuk is 62.6% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Tkachuk shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Cates
Home
50.4% (121)
46.3% (423)
Away
67.3% (113)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Tkachuk
Cates
P1
57.1%
46.3%
P2
60.0%
47.1%
P3
58.3%
42.1%
OT
66.7%
18.2%
Final 5 min
55.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%