Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Cates 45.8% (+8.1%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 83.5%
Defensive zone
Cates 88.8%
Neutral zone
Cates 50.4%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Tkachuk
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
44.3% (271)
+3.6%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
77.8% (18)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
31.7% (41)
-31.7%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Cates
Home
56.0% (175)
52.0% (148)
Away
49.8% (205)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Tkachuk
Cates
P1
55.0%
42.7%
P2
51.9%
42.9%
P3
47.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%