Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Danault 53.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 90.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 90.0%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 50.8%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Tkachuk
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tkachuk
Danault
Last 6: Tkachuk 3-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
Tkachuk
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
54.0% (985)
-8.6%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
61.1% (131)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
43.8% (146)
+56.2%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +56.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Tkachuk is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Tkachuk shoots left. Danault is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Danault
Home
51.1% (233)
54.7% (636)
Away
49.0% (202)
52.4% (626)
By Period
Tkachuk
Danault
P1
42.9%
54.1%
P2
52.2%
54.3%
P3
53.7%
52.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |