Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 52.2%). Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tkachuk wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Danault 52.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 84.3%
Defensive zone
Danault 89.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 56.0%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Tkachuk
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Tkachuk
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
1
Tkachuk
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Tkachuk
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
52.4% (958)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
62.0% (71)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.6% (187)
+2.4%
On power play, Danault has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Tkachuk shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Danault
Home
50.0% (140)
51.2% (605)
Away
52.2% (207)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Tkachuk
Danault
P1
54.3%
53.1%
P2
50.0%
49.8%
P3
49.5%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |