Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Danault 54.0% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 95.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 84.4%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 68.1%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Tkachuk
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tkachuk
Danault
Last 5: Tkachuk 1-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
4
Tkachuk
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
55.1% (953)
-7.6%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
64.6% (144)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
42.0% (176)
-29.5%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. Danault is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Danault
Home
49.9% (389)
55.4% (641)
Away
46.8% (376)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Tkachuk
Danault
P1
44.4%
61.0%
P2
51.8%
52.3%
P3
47.8%
51.3%
OT
57.1%
35.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |