Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 51.9%). Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs Danault 51.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 79.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 91.9%
Neutral zone
Danault 50.7%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Tkachuk
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Tkachuk
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Tkachuk
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Tkachuk
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
52.6% (895)
-4.7%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
55.7% (97)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.5% (165)
-45.5%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Danault
Home
56.0% (175)
54.0% (581)
Away
49.8% (205)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Tkachuk
Danault
P1
55.0%
53.7%
P2
51.9%
55.3%
P3
47.3%
46.5%
OT
77.8%
46.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |