Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Thomas 49.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 80.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 88.8%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 50.2%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 88.8%
11.2%
88.8%
Tkachuk
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Tkachuk
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Tkachuk
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
49.0% (910)
-3.6%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
53.5% (142)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
53.3% (75)
+46.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Thomas
Home
51.1% (233)
47.3% (514)
Away
49.0% (202)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Tkachuk
Thomas
P1
42.9%
50.4%
P2
52.2%
47.5%
P3
53.7%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |