Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Thomas 54.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 83.2%
Defensive zone
Thomas 82.1%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 55.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Tkachuk
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Tkachuk
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
3
Tkachuk
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
55.3% (990)
-4.3%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
54.2% (190)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
52.5% (158)
-2.5%
On even strength, Thomas has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Tkachuk shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Thomas
Home
50.0% (140)
55.1% (690)
Away
52.2% (207)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Tkachuk
Thomas
P1
54.3%
55.5%
P2
50.0%
56.4%
P3
49.5%
51.5%
OT
33.3%
69.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |