Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Johansen 52.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 80.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 87.4%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 53.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 87.4%
12.6%
87.4%
Tkachuk
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tkachuk
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Tkachuk
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
49.4% (1,010)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
62.3% (236)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
67.2% (67)
+32.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Johansen
Home
51.1% (233)
54.7% (655)
Away
49.0% (202)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Tkachuk
Johansen
P1
42.9%
52.2%
P2
52.2%
50.7%
P3
53.7%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |