Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Johansen 58.2% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 73.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 90.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 69.8%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Tkachuk
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tkachuk
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
59.8% (625)
-12.3%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
58.2% (196)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
51.9% (27)
-39.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Tkachuk shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Johansen
Home
49.9% (389)
60.3% (436)
Away
46.8% (376)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Tkachuk
Johansen
P1
44.4%
61.3%
P2
51.8%
60.4%
P3
47.8%
56.0%
OT
57.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |