Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs McLeod 48.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 86.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 86.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 54.9%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 86.2%
13.8%
86.2%
Tkachuk
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tkachuk
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Tkachuk
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
49.0% (500)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
43.8% (48)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
44.0% (50)
-31.5%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Tkachuk shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
McLeod
Home
49.9% (389)
50.9% (291)
Away
46.8% (376)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Tkachuk
McLeod
P1
44.4%
44.3%
P2
51.8%
52.4%
P3
47.8%
47.8%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
48.4%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |