Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 59.6% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 52.1% vs McLeod 50.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 74.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 91.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 52.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 91.3%
8.7%
91.3%
Tkachuk
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tkachuk
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Tkachuk
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (192)
51.3% (628)
-3.4%
Power Play
57.8% (187)
68.3% (41)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
30.6% (49)
-30.6%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Tkachuk shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
McLeod
Home
56.0% (175)
51.5% (394)
Away
49.8% (205)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Tkachuk
McLeod
P1
55.0%
51.5%
P2
51.9%
47.0%
P3
47.3%
54.3%
OT
77.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
52.6%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |