Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 69.8%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 92.3%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 66.9%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 92.3%
7.7%
92.3%
Tkachuk
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Tkachuk
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
4
Tkachuk
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
48.0% (275)
-2.6%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
48.1% (52)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
53.1% (32)
+46.9%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Reinhart
Home
51.1% (233)
49.8% (201)
Away
49.0% (202)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Tkachuk
Reinhart
P1
42.9%
54.8%
P2
52.2%
40.5%
P3
53.7%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |