Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 97.4%
Defensive zone
Tkachuk 53.1%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 72.6%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Tkachuk
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Tkachuk
Reinhart
Last 7: Tkachuk 6-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
6
0
Tkachuk
Reinhart
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Tkachuk
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
44.1% (324)
+6.9%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
40.3% (72)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
33.9% (118)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Tkachuk shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Reinhart
Home
50.0% (140)
40.5% (232)
Away
52.2% (207)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Tkachuk
Reinhart
P1
54.3%
46.4%
P2
50.0%
32.6%
P3
49.5%
45.4%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |