Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Thompson 43.8% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Tkachuk leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 96.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 70.4%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 61.0%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Tkachuk
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Tkachuk
Thompson
Last 10: Tkachuk 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
5
1
Tkachuk
Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Tkachuk
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
43.3% (735)
+4.2%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
50.0% (26)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
36.5% (52)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Tkachuk shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Thompson
Home
49.9% (389)
44.5% (407)
Away
46.8% (376)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Tkachuk
Thompson
P1
44.4%
44.4%
P2
51.8%
44.8%
P3
47.8%
40.2%
OT
57.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.3%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |