Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Thompson 45.3% (+13.8%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 73.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 81.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.4%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Tkachuk
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
44.9% (642)
+11.9%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
47.9% (94)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.3% (33)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Tkachuk shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Thompson
Home
50.4% (121)
46.0% (391)
Away
67.3% (113)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Tkachuk
Thompson
P1
57.1%
48.1%
P2
60.0%
44.9%
P3
58.3%
41.2%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%