Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Thompson 43.7% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 95.2%
Defensive zone
Tkachuk 57.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 80.2%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 95.2%
95.2%
4.8%
Tkachuk
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Tkachuk
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
41.9% (597)
+9.1%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
50.5% (95)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
25.0% (12)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Tkachuk shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Thompson
Home
50.0% (140)
47.1% (367)
Away
52.2% (207)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Tkachuk
Thompson
P1
54.3%
44.2%
P2
50.0%
41.6%
P3
49.5%
42.9%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |