Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 48.7% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-14.7%)
Offensive zone
Saad 61.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 76.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Saad
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (16)
56.6% (1,064)
-12.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.4% (260)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
54.0% (261)
-54.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +54.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Saad is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Saad shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Saad
O'Reilly
Home
50.0% (8)
54.9% (801)
Away
36.4% (11)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Saad
O'Reilly
P1
25.0%
58.0%
P2
60.0%
56.7%
P3
20.0%
55.4%
Final 5 min
0.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
42.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%