Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 50.0% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
Saad 57.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 72.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Saad
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (5)
56.1% (690)
+3.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
64.6% (96)
-31.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Saad is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (3).
Saad shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Saad
O'Reilly
Home
60.0% (5)
58.3% (408)
Away
33.3% (3)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Saad
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
57.7%
P2
33.3%
54.8%
P3
100.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
66.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
50.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%