Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 48.4% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Saad 55.2%
Defensive zone
Saad 58.3%
Neutral zone
Saad 53.0%
Result
Brandon Saad favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Saad
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Saad
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Saad
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (21)
55.0% (1,084)
-7.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.8% (303)
-23.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
40.3% (149)
-15.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Saad is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Saad shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Saad
O'Reilly
Home
45.0% (20)
54.8% (759)
Away
37.5% (8)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Saad
O'Reilly
P1
41.7%
55.3%
P2
55.6%
51.9%
P3
28.6%
54.2%
Final 5 min
25.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
42.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |