Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.9% vs McDavid 53.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 55.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 72.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Point
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Point
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Point
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (573)
54.3% (1,002)
-6.0%
Power Play
62.4% (141)
44.8% (29)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
33.3% (15)
+0.0%
On power play, Point has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Point is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Point shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Point
McDavid
Home
47.5% (356)
53.6% (507)
Away
54.6% (361)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Point
McDavid
P1
50.0%
52.6%
P2
54.5%
54.1%
P3
48.9%
54.9%
OT
42.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.0%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |