Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs McDavid 51.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Point leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 66.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 76.7%
Neutral zone
Point 51.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Point
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Point
McDavid
Last 10: Point 6-4 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
McDavid
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Point
McDavid
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
51.5% (889)
-1.6%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
63.9% (36)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
51.2% (86)
-1.2%
On power play, McDavid has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. McDavid is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Point
McDavid
Home
53.3% (394)
50.7% (513)
Away
48.4% (428)
53.2% (498)
By Period
Point
McDavid
P1
49.8%
52.3%
P2
53.0%
51.6%
P3
49.6%
51.7%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 01:30 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:40 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |