Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 47.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs McDavid 47.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 54.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 55.2%
Neutral zone
Point 54.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Point
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Point
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Point
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
47.7% (715)
+0.1%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
51.9% (52)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
22.2% (9)
+49.2%
On penalty kill, Point has a +49.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. McDavid is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Point
McDavid
Home
49.7% (471)
47.3% (387)
Away
47.2% (415)
48.1% (389)
By Period
Point
McDavid
P1
46.6%
47.6%
P2
51.7%
50.0%
P3
46.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Brayden Point |