Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.9% vs Mercer 37.5% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 64.3%
Defensive zone
Mercer 52.4%
Neutral zone
Mercer 54.1%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Point
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Point
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Mercer
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Point
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (573)
35.4% (548)
+12.9%
Power Play
62.4% (141)
42.9% (35)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
0.0% (7)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Point has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Point is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Point shoots right. Mercer is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Point
Mercer
Home
47.5% (356)
39.9% (283)
Away
54.6% (361)
31.3% (307)
By Period
Point
Mercer
P1
50.0%
37.7%
P2
54.5%
32.1%
P3
48.9%
37.7%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.0%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Brayden Point |