Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Mercer 45.3% (+8.3%)
Offensive zone
Point 58.1%
Defensive zone
Mercer 59.5%
Neutral zone
Point 50.8%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Point
Mercer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
43.2% (148)
+6.7%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
40.0% (10)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
On penalty kill, Point has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Point is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Point shoots right. Mercer is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Point
Mercer
Home
53.3% (394)
39.0% (82)
Away
48.4% (428)
45.8% (83)
By Period
Point
Mercer
P1
49.8%
45.5%
P2
53.0%
44.0%
P3
49.6%
36.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%