Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Evans 51.7% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 85.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 79.4%
Neutral zone
Point 59.1%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Point
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Point
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Point
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Point
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
54.5% (483)
-4.6%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
58.3% (12)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
43.9% (155)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Point has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Point is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Point shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Point
Evans
Home
53.3% (394)
49.4% (336)
Away
48.4% (428)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Point
Evans
P1
49.8%
55.8%
P2
53.0%
51.7%
P3
49.6%
48.2%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 18:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jake Evans |