Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Point wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Evans 52.0% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 85.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 89.0%
Neutral zone
Point 53.6%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Point
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Point
Evans
Last 10: Point 5-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
5
0
Point
Evans
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
3
Point
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Point
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
54.4% (807)
-8.5%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
55.0% (20)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
46.1% (310)
-26.1%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Point is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Point shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Point
Evans
Home
45.8% (286)
53.7% (581)
Away
45.5% (358)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Point
Evans
P1
45.9%
54.6%
P2
48.8%
50.0%
P3
40.6%
52.3%
OT
62.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
40.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OT | 01:09 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Jake Evans |