Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Evans 55.4% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 94.1%
Defensive zone
Point 57.7%
Neutral zone
Point 75.3%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Point
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Point
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Point
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Point
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
56.2% (477)
-10.0%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
70.0% (10)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
55.4% (204)
-35.4%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Point is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Point shoots right. Evans is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Point
Evans
Home
46.9% (243)
55.3% (374)
Away
46.4% (302)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Point
Evans
P1
46.2%
58.5%
P2
45.9%
55.7%
P3
48.9%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |