Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Evans 52.6% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 71.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 94.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 62.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Point
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Point
Evans
Last 9: Point 6-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Point
Evans
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
54.4% (824)
-6.6%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
66.7% (9)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
48.1% (289)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Point has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Point is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Point shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Point
Evans
Home
49.7% (471)
55.1% (541)
Away
47.2% (415)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Point
Evans
P1
46.6%
51.8%
P2
51.7%
53.3%
P3
46.5%
53.8%
OT
66.7%
38.5%
Final 5 min
47.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Brayden Point |