Brayden Point vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Pageau 56.7% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 79.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 85.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Point
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Point
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Point
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
58.8% (889)
-8.9%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
58.2% (182)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
48.6% (185)
+1.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Point is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Point shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Point
Pageau
Home
53.3% (394)
59.0% (595)
Away
48.4% (428)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Point
Pageau
P1
49.8%
58.9%
P2
53.0%
57.9%
P3
49.6%
55.6%
OT
44.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Brayden Point |