Brayden Point vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Pageau 54.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Point leads 32-30 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 68.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 85.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 65.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Point
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
30
(62 meetings)
32
30
Point
Pageau
Last 10: Point 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
15
4
Point
Pageau
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
16
Point
Pageau
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
13
10
Point
Pageau
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
55.7% (9,486)
-7.4%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
57.0% (1,002)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
49.6% (2,069)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Point is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,071).
Point shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Home / Away
Point
Pageau
Home
49.1% (3,733)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Point
Pageau
P1
46.8%
54.6%
P2
51.4%
56.3%
P3
48.0%
53.5%
OT
52.0%
54.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Brayden Point |