Brayden Point vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Pageau 58.8% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 65.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 87.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 66.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Point
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Point
Pageau
Last 7: Point 4-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Point
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
59.1% (687)
-12.9%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
69.4% (36)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
60.1% (213)
-40.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +40.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Point is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Point shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Point
Pageau
Home
46.9% (243)
57.8% (377)
Away
46.4% (302)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Point
Pageau
P1
46.2%
54.1%
P2
45.9%
62.1%
P3
48.9%
61.8%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |