Brayden Point vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Pageau 58.7% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 65.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 73.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 51.7%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Point
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Point
Pageau
Last 8: Point 4-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Point
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
59.6% (711)
-11.8%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
64.0% (114)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
56.4% (163)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Point has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Point is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Point shoots right. Pageau is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Point
Pageau
Home
49.7% (471)
59.3% (506)
Away
47.2% (415)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Point
Pageau
P1
46.6%
56.8%
P2
51.7%
64.4%
P3
46.5%
56.9%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Brayden Point |