Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Backlund 49.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 86.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 86.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Point
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Point
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Point
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
50.1% (891)
-3.9%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
53.1% (64)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
47.8% (278)
-27.8%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Point
Backlund
Home
46.9% (243)
48.1% (580)
Away
46.4% (302)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Point
Backlund
P1
46.2%
45.1%
P2
45.9%
54.7%
P3
48.9%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
46.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |