Brayden Point vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.0%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Backlund 49.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Point leads 22-17 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 63.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 76.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.0%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Point
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
17
(39 meetings)
22
17
Point
Backlund
Last 10: Point 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
15
6
Point
Backlund
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
5
Point
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
6
Point
Backlund
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
49.7% (13,410)
-1.4%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
51.6% (1,336)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
44.0% (2,446)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Home / Away
Point
Backlund
Home
49.1% (3,733)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Point
Backlund
P1
46.8%
48.5%
P2
51.4%
50.3%
P3
48.0%
48.4%
OT
52.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |