Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.9%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Backlund 50.8% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 74.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 72.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.4%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Point
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Point
Backlund
Last 5: Point 3-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
51.9% (1,083)
-2.0%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
51.7% (120)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
44.3% (183)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Point has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Point
Backlund
Home
53.3% (394)
51.9% (673)
Away
48.4% (428)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Point
Backlund
P1
49.8%
51.4%
P2
53.0%
50.5%
P3
49.6%
51.4%
OT
44.4%
35.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Brayden Point |