Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.5%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.9% vs Backlund 50.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 84.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 66.1%
Neutral zone
Point 55.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Point
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Point
Backlund
Last 7: Point 6-1 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
5
1
Point
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (573)
51.5% (983)
-3.2%
Power Play
62.4% (141)
49.4% (87)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
45.3% (159)
-12.0%
On power play, Point has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Point is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Point shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Point
Backlund
Home
47.5% (356)
51.6% (653)
Away
54.6% (361)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Point
Backlund
P1
50.0%
50.0%
P2
54.5%
49.8%
P3
48.9%
51.7%
OT
42.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
57.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Brayden Point |