Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.4%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Backlund 48.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 77.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.7%
Neutral zone
Point 53.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Point
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Point
Backlund
Last 8: Point 3-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Point
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
50.4% (1,032)
-2.6%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
52.3% (107)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
40.6% (313)
+30.8%
On penalty kill, Point has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Point
Backlund
Home
49.7% (471)
48.7% (749)
Away
47.2% (415)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Point
Backlund
P1
46.6%
50.4%
P2
51.7%
50.1%
P3
46.5%
45.8%
OT
66.7%
30.8%
Final 5 min
47.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |