Brayden Point vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 59.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 82.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 58.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Point
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Point
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Point
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
44.7% (1,053)
+5.2%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
36.8% (95)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
65.0% (20)
-15.0%
On power play, Point has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Point is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Point shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Point
MacKinnon
Home
53.3% (394)
49.4% (553)
Away
48.4% (428)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Point
MacKinnon
P1
49.8%
45.3%
P2
53.0%
42.7%
P3
49.6%
45.1%
OT
44.4%
46.2%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | OT | 04:29 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Brayden Point |