Brayden Point vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.7% vs 46.2%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 63.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 68.8%
Neutral zone
Point 60.8%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Point
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Point
MacKinnon
Last 7: Point 2-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Point
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Point
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
45.5% (1,190)
+0.4%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
56.4% (94)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
40.0% (30)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Point is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Point shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Point
MacKinnon
Home
45.8% (286)
47.8% (670)
Away
45.5% (358)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Point
MacKinnon
P1
45.9%
45.3%
P2
48.8%
48.5%
P3
40.6%
45.0%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 06:27 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |