Brayden Point vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 61.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Point
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Point
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
50.0% (992)
-3.8%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
64.9% (148)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
34.4% (32)
-14.4%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Point is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Point shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Point
MacKinnon
Home
46.9% (243)
53.3% (591)
Away
46.4% (302)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Point
MacKinnon
P1
46.2%
49.9%
P2
45.9%
53.2%
P3
48.9%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Brayden Point |