Brayden Point vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (55% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Point leads 23-22 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 57.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.3%
Neutral zone
Point 54.4%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Point
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
22
(45 meetings)
23
22
Point
MacKinnon
Last 10: Point 8-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
6
7
Point
MacKinnon
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Point
MacKinnon
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
11
9
Point
MacKinnon
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
46.1% (11,218)
+2.2%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
53.3% (1,412)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
42.8% (502)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Point is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,071).
Point shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Point
MacKinnon
Home
49.1% (3,733)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Point
MacKinnon
P1
46.8%
47.4%
P2
51.4%
46.6%
P3
48.0%
46.1%
OT
52.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 01:18 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 06:27 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 14, 2023 | OT | 04:29 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | Brayden Point |