Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.9% vs Aho 52.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 51.9%
Defensive zone
Aho 54.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Point
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Point
Aho
Last 9: Point 4-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Point
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (573)
51.6% (819)
-3.3%
Power Play
62.4% (141)
58.4% (173)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
46.3% (67)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Point is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Point shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Point
Aho
Home
47.5% (356)
53.9% (568)
Away
54.6% (361)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Point
Aho
P1
50.0%
55.4%
P2
54.5%
51.2%
P3
48.9%
50.9%
OT
42.9%
28.6%
Final 5 min
57.7%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:43 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |