Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.4%). Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Aho 51.2% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 52.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 62.5%
Neutral zone
Point 52.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Point
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Point
Aho
Last 8: Point 2-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Point
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
3
Point
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Point
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
48.5% (778)
+1.4%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
63.4% (191)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.8% (65)
-0.8%
On power play, Aho has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Point
Aho
Home
53.3% (394)
51.3% (530)
Away
48.4% (428)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Point
Aho
P1
49.8%
50.0%
P2
53.0%
51.3%
P3
49.6%
52.1%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 3, 2022 | OT | 00:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Brayden Point |